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2024 Atlantic hurricane season

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2024 Atlantic hurricane season
Season summary map
Seasonal boundaries
First system formedJune 19, 2024
Last system dissipatedSeason ongoing
Strongest storm
NameMilton
 • Maximum winds180 mph (285 km/h)
(1-minute sustained)
 • Lowest pressure897 mbar (hPa; 26.49 inHg)
Seasonal statistics
Total depressions13
Total storms13
Hurricanes9
Major hurricanes
(Cat. 3+)
4
Total fatalities≥374 total
Total damage> $81.164 billion (2024 USD)
(Fourth-costliest Atlantic hurricane season on record)
Related articles
Atlantic hurricane seasons
2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is an ongoing Atlantic hurricane season in the Northern Hemisphere. The season officially began on June 1, and will end on November 30. These dates, adopted by convention, historically describe the period in each year when most subtropical or tropical cyclogenesis occurs in the Atlantic Ocean. The first system, Tropical Storm Alberto, developed on June 19, making it the latest first named storm since 2014.

The second storm of the season, Hurricane Beryl, was a rare June major hurricane, the earliest Category 5 Atlantic hurricane on record, and only the second recorded in July. Next came Tropical Storm Chris, which formed on the last day of June and quickly made landfall in Veracruz. Activity then quieted down across the basin for most of July after Beryl dissipated, with no new tropical cyclones forming due to the presence of the Saharan air layer (SAL) across much of the Atlantic. In early August, Hurricane Debby developed in the Gulf of Mexico before making landfall in Florida and South Carolina. Shortly thereafter came Hurricane Ernesto, which impacted the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and Bermuda in mid-August. After an unusual lull in activity in late August and early September, Hurricane Francine formed in the Gulf, then made landfall in Louisiana.

On September 24, Hurricane Helene formed over the western Caribbean before moving toward the Big Bend region of Florida. It made landfall there on September 26, at Category 4 strength, before moving inland and dissipating over central Appalachia. Three days later, Hurricane Kirk formed in the Eastern Atlantic and rapidly intensified into a Category 4 hurricane before striking Europe as a post-tropical cyclone on October 9. On October 5, Hurricane Milton formed in the Gulf of Mexico and explosively intensified into the second Category 5 hurricane of the season, becoming the most intense Atlantic hurricane since Wilma in 2005 by barometric pressure and the most intense since Dorian in 2019 by wind speed. Milton later made landfall near Siesta Key, Florida on October 9, as a Category 3 hurricane.

As of October 11, the storms of this season have collectively caused at least 370 fatalities and more than $80 billion in damage. So far, five hurricanes made landfall in the United States: three in Florida, one in Texas, and one in Louisiana.

Seasonal forecasts

[edit]
Predictions of tropical activity in the 2024 season
Source Date Named
storms
Hurricanes Major
hurricanes
Ref
Average (1991–2020) 14.4 7.2 3.2 [1]
Record high activity 30 15 7 [2]
Record low activity 1 0 0 [2]

TSR December 11, 2023 20 9 4 [3]
CSU April 4, 2024 23 11 5 [4]
MFM April 5, 2024 21 11 N/A [5]
TSR April 8, 2024 23 11 5 [6]
UA April 8, 2024 21 11 5 [7]
MU April 12, 2024 26 11 5 [8]
NCSU April 16, 2024 15–20 10–12 3–4 [9]
UPenn April 24, 2024 27-39 N/A N/A [10]
SMN May 6, 2024 20–23 9–11 4–5 [11]
UKMO* May 22, 2024 22 12 4 [12]
NOAA May 23, 2024 17–25 8–13 4–7 [13]
TSR May 30, 2024 24 12 6 [14]
CSU June 12, 2024 23 11 5 [15]
UA June 23, 2024 23 10 5 [16]
TSR July 5, 2024 26 13 6 [17]
CSU July 10, 2024 25 12 6 [18]
TSR August 6, 2024 24 12 6 [19]
CSU August 6, 2024 23 12 6 [20]
NOAA August 8, 2024 17–24 8–13 4–7 [21]
Actual activity 13 9 4
* June–November only
† Most recent of several such occurrences. (See all)

In advance of, and during, each hurricane season, several forecasts of hurricane activity are issued by national meteorological services, scientific agencies, and noted hurricane experts. These include forecasters from the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s Climate Prediction Center, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), the United Kingdom's Met Office (UKMO), and Colorado State University (CSU). The forecasts include weekly and monthly changes in significant factors that help determine the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a particular year.[22]

According to NOAA and CSU, the average Atlantic hurricane season between 1991 and 2020 contained roughly 14 tropical storms, 7 hurricanes, 3 major hurricanes, and an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index of 72–111 units.[1][23] Broadly speaking, ACE is a measure of the power of a tropical or subtropical storm multiplied by the length of time it existed. It is only calculated for full advisories on specific tropical and subtropical systems reaching or exceeding wind speeds of 39 mph (63 km/h). NOAA typically categorizes a season as above-average, average, or below-average based on the cumulative ACE index, but the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a hurricane season is sometimes also considered.[1]

Pre-season forecasts

[edit]

On December 11, 2023, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) released its extended range forecast for the 2024 season, predicting an above-average season with 20 named storms, nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes.[nb 1][3] They took into account ongoing warm sea-surface temperatures (SST) throughout most of the basin, specifically in the Main Development Region and in the Caribbean Sea on top of the 2023–2024 El Niño event which was predicted to weaken to a neutral phase by August 2024.[3] TSR updated their forecast on May 30, predicting 24 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 6 major hurricanes with an ACE of 226 units.[14] On April 4, 2024, Colorado State University (CSU) released its forecast, calling for an extremely active hurricane season, with 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes and five major hurricanes, with an ACE index of 210 units, citing the extremely warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures and the development of a La Niña by the summer.[4] On April 5, Météo-France (MFM) issued a prediction of 21 named storms and 11 hurricanes. They cited warm sea surface temperatures, wind patterns, and humidity.[5] On April 8, TSR updated their prediction, predicting 23 tropical storms, 11 hurricanes, and five major hurricanes, with an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index of 217 units. They predicted that moderate La Niña conditions would occur in the summer and persist into fall and above average sea surface temperatures would also persist into summer.[6] On the same day, the University of Arizona (UA) posted their forecast calling for a very active season featuring 21 named storms, 11 hurricanes, 5 major hurricanes, and an ACE index of 156 units.[7] On April 12, University of Missouri (MU) issued their prediction of 26 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and five major hurricanes.[8] On April 16, NCSU issued their prediction of 15–20 named storms, 10–12 hurricanes, and 3–4 major hurricanes.[9] On April 24, the University of Pennsylvania (UPenn) issued their prediction of a record-breaking season, predicting an unprecedented 33 (±6) named storms. They cited expected moderate La Niña conditions and record-warm sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic tied to large-scale warming.[10] On May 6, the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) issued their forecast of 20–23 tropical storms, 9–11 hurricanes, and 4–5 major hurricanes.[11] On May 22, UKMO published their forecast for the 2024 season, calling for 22 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, and an ACE index of 212 units.[12] One day later, NOAA published their hurricane season prediction, forecasting an above-average season of 17–25 named storms, 8–13 hurricanes, and 4–7 major hurricanes with an 85% chance of being an above-average season.[13] TSR updated their predictions on May 30 with 24 tropical storms, 12 hurricanes, and 6 major hurricanes with an ACE of 226.[14]

Mid-season forecasts

[edit]

On June 11, CSU also updated its predictions, continuing to expect an extremely active season, with 23 tropical storms, 11 hurricanes, five major hurricanes, and an ACE of 210.[15] On June 23, UA updated its prediction with 23 named storms, 10 hurricanes, five major hurricanes, and an ACE of 231.[16] TSR updated its predictions on July 5 with 26 tropical storms, 13 hurricanes, and six major hurricanes with an ACE of 240.[17] On July 9, CSU updated its predictions, anticipating an even more active season, with 25 tropical storms, 12 hurricanes, six major hurricanes, and an ACE of 230.[18] On August 8, NOAA updated its prediction of the total number of named storms slightly, while still anticipating a highly active season.[21]

Seasonal summary

[edit]
Hurricane MiltonHurricane Kirk (2024)Hurricane HeleneHurricane FrancineHurricane Ernesto (2024)Hurricane Debby (2024)Tropical Storm Chris (2024)Hurricane BerylTropical Storm Alberto (2024)Saffir–Simpson scale

Background

[edit]
Three simultaneous hurricanes active on October 6, with Milton (left), Kirk (top right) and Leslie (lower right)

Officially, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season began on June 1, and will end on November 30.[25] So far, thirteen tropical cyclones have formed, and all of them became named storms. Nine of the storms became hurricanes, of which four strengthened into major hurricanes. Altogether, six systems have made landfall this season.

This season's ACE index, as of 09:00 UTC on October 12, is approximately 140.6 units.[26] This number represents sum of the squares of the maximum sustained wind speed (knots) for all named storms while they are at least tropical storm intensity, divided by 10,000. Therefore, tropical depressions are not included.

Early activity

[edit]

Though the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June 1, it had its slowest start since 2014. This was due to a large stationary heat dome over Central America and Mexico, as tropical cyclogenesis in June often occurs over the Gulf of Mexico and northern Caribbean Sea.[27] The season's first named storm, Tropical Storm Alberto, formed in the western Gulf of Mexico on June 19,[nb 2][29] then proceeded to make landfall on the northeastern coast of Mexico the following day.[30] Next came Hurricane Beryl, the earliest-forming Category 4 and Category 5 Atlantic hurricane on record in a season and the strongest June and July hurricane on record in the basin. After forming on June 28 in the MDR, the storm rapidly intensified as it approached the Windward Islands,[31][32][33] peaking as a Category 5 hurricane early on July 2.[34] Short-lived Tropical Storm Chris developed in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on June 30,[35] quickly moving ashore in Mexico the following morning.[36] Beryl continued on, impacting Jamaica and landfalling on the Yucatán Peninsula and Texas.[37][38][39] After Beryl dissipated on July 11, the Atlantic basin would fall under a period of inactivity due to the Saharan air layer, which suppresses tropical activity, persisting over the open Atlantic alongside dry air typically occurring during this period of the season.[40]

Activity resumed at the start of August, with Hurricane Debby developing in the Gulf of Mexico on August 3,[41][42] before making landfall in Florida as a Category 1 hurricane two days later. It then slowed down over land afterwards and dropped heavy rain and caused widespread flooding in the Southeastern United States. A few days after Debby dissipated, Hurricane Ernesto formed on August 12 in the Western Main Development Region.[43] Ernesto caused damage to the Lesser Antilles on August 14 as a Category 1 hurricane.[44] Two days later on August 16, it peaked as a Category 2 hurricane.[45] The next day it made landfall at Bermuda as a weakening Category 1 storm.[46]

Peak to late season

[edit]
List of costliest Atlantic hurricane seasons (as of 2024)
Rank Cost Season
1 ≥ $294.803 billion 2017
2 $172.297 billion 2005
3 $120.425 billion 2022
4 >$81.144 billion 2024
5 ≥$80.727 billion 2021
6 $72.341 billion 2012
7 $61.148 billion 2004
8 $55.394 billion 2020
9 ≥ $50.526 billion 2018
10 ≥ $48.855 billion 2008

Despite the unseasonably warm temperatures in the North Atlantic, the equatorial Atlantic cooled rapidly into an "Atlantic Niña" due to upwelling caused by shifts in the trade winds and the Atlantic zonal mode. The effects of an Atlantic Niña is not certain but it is contrary to the assumptions that the NOAA used in their forecast of seasonal activity.[47] CSU associated the quietness of the Atlantic during the month of August and the period after Ernesto dissipated–despite predictions of an extremely active peak period–to tropical waves forming too far north, warm upper-level winds causing destabilization, wind shear in the East Atlantic, and factors associated with the Madden–Julian oscillation.[48]

After nearly three weeks of inactivity, the longest in over fifty years at that point in the season,[49] Hurricane Francine formed on September 9.[50] Tropical Storm Gordon followed suit two days later on September 11,[51] with Francine making landfall in Louisiana as a Category 2 system later that day.[52] Four systems developed during the final week of September, starting with Hurricane Helene on September 24.[53] The system affected the Yucatán Peninsula on September 25, before making landfall in the Big Bend region of Florida late on September 26 as a Category 4 hurricane, where it rapidly weakened into a tropical depression by noon of September 27.[54] Hurricane Isaac formed on September 26 and later peaked as a Category 2 hurricane.[55] On September 27, Tropical Storm Joyce formed just west of the Cabo Verde Islands.[56] September's activity ended with the formation of Hurricane Kirk on September 29, which reached its peak intensity on October 4.

Early October saw the formations of Hurricanes Leslie and Milton, which along with Kirk, marked the first time on record that there were three hurricanes simultaneously present in the Atlantic basin after September.[57][58][59] Milton notably underwent explosive rapid intensification within the Gulf of Mexico to become the second Category 5 hurricane of the season, making 2024 the first Atlantic hurricane season since 2019 to feature multiple Category 5 hurricanes.[60] It became the first Atlantic hurricane since Hurricane Wilma to reach a pressure below 900 mb (26.58 inHg) and the second-most intense tropical cyclone ever recorded over the Gulf of Mexico, only after Hurricane Rita.

Systems

[edit]

Tropical Storm Alberto

[edit]
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
 
DurationJune 19 – June 20
Peak intensity50 mph (85 km/h) (1-min);
992 mbar (hPa)

A Central American gyre resulted in the formation of convection over the Gulf of Tehuantepec on June 15. As the convective activity progressed northward over southeastern Mexico and exited into the Bay of Campeche, an area of low pressure gradually developed on June 17 about 105 miles (169 km) northwest of Ciudad del Carmen, Mexico. The system gradually became better organized, though still remained rather broad, developing into Tropical Storm Alberto by 12:00 UTC on June 19. Under the influence of light vertical wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures, Alberto intensified up to landfall, attaining peak winds of 50 mph (85 km/h) and a minimum central pressure of 992 mbar (29.29 inHg) by the morning of June 20. Alberto moved ashore at 09:00 UTC that day near Tampico, Mexico, and rapidly weakened over land, dissipating just nine hours later.[61]

Alberto brought heavy rainfall to the states of Coahuila, Nuevo León, and Tamaulipas in northeast Mexico. Rainfall from Alberto resulted in four deaths in Mexico, all in Nuevo León: one in Monterrey due to river flooding, one in El Carmen, and two in Allende (the latter three were indirect electrocution deaths).[62][63] Damage reported in Nuevo León exceeded MX$1 billion (US$53.7 million).[64] Alberto's large wind field produced tropical storm-force winds along the coastline of Texas, despite the center being located over northeastern Mexico. A 3–4 feet (0.9–1 m) storm surge inundated coastal communities between Corpus Christi Bay and Galveston.[61][65] Storm surge and coastal flooding damaged piers, roads, and sand dunes, as well as causing several high water rescues.[61] One person drowned at Galveston due to rip currents generated by the storm.[66] Alberto brought significant rainfall to the Galveston area, leading to freshwater flooding. Additionally, an EF1 tornado touched down near Bellville, causing some property damage along its 2 mi (3.2 km) long path,[67] and two EF0 tornadoes occurred near Rockport.[68][69] To the east, coastal communities in Louisiana, especially Grand Isle, also received some flooding.[70]

Hurricane Beryl

[edit]
Category 5 hurricane (SSHWS)
 
DurationJune 28 – July 9
Peak intensity165 mph (270 km/h) (1-min);
934 mbar (hPa)

On June 25, the NHC began monitoring a tropical wave producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms just south of Cabo Verde.[71] The following day, the wave began showing signs of organization, with modest thunderstorm activity, curved bands, and some spin development.[72] The disturbance further organized, becoming Tropical Depression Two over the central tropical Atlantic on June 28.[73] Located south of a strong subtropical ridge, the depression moved generally westward through an unusually favorable environment for the time of year with warm sea surface temperatures (SST) and minimal wind shear, consequently beginning a period of rapid intensification. The depression strengthened into Tropical Storm Beryl six hours after formation,[74] and the thunderstorms quickly organized into a central dense overcast, with a symmetric cloud pattern surrounded by rainbands.[75] Late on June 29, Beryl intensified into a hurricane. The inner core of the thunderstorms organized into an eye,[76] which became clear and symmetrical. Observations from the Hurricane Hunters indicated that Beryl became a major hurricane on June 30.[77] The hurricane strengthened further into a Category 4 hurricane. Beryl maintained an initial peak intensity with winds of 130 mph (215 km/h).[78] Beryl then underwent an eyewall replacement cycle and briefly weakened to a Category 3 hurricane early on July 1,[79] but regained Category 4 strength six hours later once the cycle was completed.[80] At 15:10 UTC the same day, Beryl made landfall in Carriacou, Grenada, with sustained winds of 150 mph (240 km/h).[81] At 03:00 UTC the next day, Beryl further intensified into a Category 5 hurricane,[34] peaking a few hours later with winds of 165 mph (270 km/h), while moving to the west-northwest at about 20 mph (35 km/h).[82] Later that same day, Beryl passed south of Isla Beata, Dominican Republic, where it weakened to Category 4 strength[83] as a result of wind shear.[84]

Moving generally west-northwestward under the influence of the strong ridge to its north, Beryl's center passed very near the southern coast of Jamaica on the afternoon of July 3. It remained a Category 4 hurricane, despite continued westerly shear.[39] At 06:00 UTC on July 4, while southeast of the Cayman Islands, Beryl weakened to Category 3 strength.[85] Beryl continued to weaken, and was downgraded to a Category 2 hurricane that afternoon.[86] Late that same day though, data from an Air Force reconnaissance team showed that Beryl had re-strengthened to a minimal Category 3 hurricane.[87] It weakened once more to Category 2 intensity, however, a few hours later.[88] At 11:00 UTC on July 5, the system made landfall just northeast of Tulum, Quintana Roo, with sustained winds of 110 mph (175 km/h).[38] Inland, Beryl quickly weakened into a Category 1 hurricane,[89] and then a tropical storm a few hours later.[90] The tropical storm then emerged into the Gulf of Mexico as it was steered by a mid-level ridge located over the southeastern U.S.[91] That night and into the next day, in addition to a broader inner core, Beryl was beset by an infusion of dry air and by moderate wind shear, which kept the storm from strengthening appreciably.[92] Even so, by the afternoon of July 6, its convective structure had improved some and had become more persistent.[93] At 04:00 UTC on July 8, Beryl regained hurricane intensity whilst approaching the Texas coast.[94] Shortly thereafter, Beryl made its final landfall near Matagorda, Texas with sustained winds of 80 mph (130 km/h).[37] The system quickly weakened inland, transitioning to a post-tropical cyclone early on July 9.[95] By the following day, the storm's remnants were moving through the Lower Peninsula of Michigan, tracking northeastward into Ontario before dissipating on July 11.[96]

On June 29, the prime minister of Saint Lucia ordered a national shutdown in anticipation of Beryl's impacts on the island nation.[97] Caribbean Airlines postponed several flights between Barbados, Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, and Trinidad and Tobago the next day.[98] A Caribbean Community meeting in Grenada, scheduled to run from July 3 to 5, was canceled.[99] Effects and casualties from the hurricane were widespread. Beryl caused catastrophic damage on Grenada's northern islands of Carriacou and Petite Martinique and on several of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines' southern islands such as Union Island and Canouan where an estimated 95% of buildings were damaged or destroyed.[100][101] In Venezuela, six people were killed and several were missing.[102] Sustained damage was also recorded in the Yucatán as well, although it was generally limited to downed trees and power lines, and damage to roofs; there was also widespread flooding.[103] In the United States, the state of Texas experienced severe flooding and wind damage, with reports of at least 22 dead in the Greater Houston area.[104][105] Additionally, the outer bands of the hurricane produced a prolific three-day tornado outbreak, with 68 tornadoes confirmed in Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Indiana, Kentucky, New York, and Ontario.[106][107] A total of 71 fatalities have been confirmed, and preliminary damage estimates are more than US$6.86 billion.[108][109][110]

Tropical Storm Chris

[edit]
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
 
DurationJune 30 – July 1
Peak intensity45 mph (75 km/h) (1-min);
1005 mbar (hPa)

On June 24, the NHC began monitoring a tropical wave east-southeast of the Windward Islands producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.[111] The disturbance moved generally westward across the Caribbean for several days,[112] before traversing the Yucatán Peninsula and emerging in the Bay of Campeche early on June 30.[113] There, an area of low pressure formed, which quickly became better organized. Tropical Depression Three formed later that day,[114] and strengthened into Tropical Storm Chris six hours later.[35] Shortly thereafter, the system made landfall in the municipality of Vega de Alatorre, Veracruz, at peak intensity.[36] Chris rapidly weakened over the rough terrain of Mexico, dissipating early on July 1.[115]

Chris generated heavy rains in the states of Chiapas, Hidalgo, Morelos, San Luis Potosí, and Veracruz, causing flooding, overflowing rivers, and mudslides.[116] Consequently, local authorities in Veracruz closed schools in 41 municipalities and opened 9 temporary shelters, which housed 86 people.[36][116] Flooding also damaged numerous homes, including almost 2,000 in Huiloapan alone.[116] In Hidalgo, flooding forced the evacuation of around 200 families in Yahualica. More than 20,000 people were affected by flooding in Xochiatipan, which inundated homes and a clinic. An elderly man was killed in San Salvador after he was buried by a mudslide.[117] In addition, four police officers in Tepetlán, Veracruz, were killed after being swept away by an overflowing stream while surveying storm damage.[118]

Hurricane Debby

[edit]
Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS)
 
DurationAugust 3 – August 9
Peak intensity80 mph (130 km/h) (1-min);
979 mbar (hPa)

On July 26, the NHC started tracking a tropical wave with the potential for development into a tropical cyclone.[119] As it moved westward, the NHC noted that the tropical wave was becoming well-defined,[120] designating it Potential Tropical Cyclone Four on August 2.[121] That night, the system developed a closed circulation just off the southern coast of Cuba, causing the NHC to upgrade it into a tropical depression.[41] Tropical Depression Four entered the Gulf of Mexico where it further intensified into Tropical Storm Debby later on August 3.[42] In the Gulf of Mexico, it intensified from tropical storm to hurricane status late on August 4, before making landfall in Florida. On August 8, Debby made a second landfall in South Carolina, approximately 20 miles (32 km) northeast of Charleston.[122] Steadily weakening once inland, later that day, Debby weakened into a tropical depression.[123] Early the next day, Debby became a post-tropical cyclone.[124]

Rainfall impacted nations across the Caribbean, especially Cuba and Puerto Rico.[125][126][127] States of emergency were declared for the states of Florida, Georgia, and North and South Carolina ahead of the storm. Heavy rains fell as a result of the storm moving slowly, with accumulations peaking near 20 in (510 mm) of rain near Sarasota, Florida. Altogether, 10 fatalities have been attributed to the storm. Preliminary damage reports are estimated to be at near US$2 billion.[128] Rain also severely impacted Quebec, with Debby causing the heaviest one-day rain in the 380-year history of Montreal[129] and becoming the most costly climate event in Quebec history, with more than CAD $2.5 billion in insured damages.[130]

Hurricane Ernesto

[edit]
Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
 
DurationAugust 12 – August 20
Peak intensity100 mph (155 km/h) (1-min);
968 mbar (hPa)

On August 8, the NHC noted that an area of low pressure could form in the central or tropical Atlantic.[131] Later that day, they began tracking a tropical wave southwest of Cabo Verde.[132] Shower activity associated with the wave began increasing two days later,[133] later showing signs of organization on August 11.[134] As a result, later that day, the disturbance developed into a low-pressure area.[135] As the system was expected to impact the Leeward Islands, it was designated Potential Tropical Cyclone Five soon after.[136] The next day, the system organized enough to become a tropical storm, being named Ernesto.[43] Ernesto would intensify as it moved through the Lesser Antilles, impacting the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.[137] Generally favorable environment conditions allowed Ernesto to intensify further, becoming a hurricane on August 14.[44] Although it continued to be disrupted by dry air intrusion, the storm intensified further, peaking as a Category 2 hurricane a day later.[45] Following this, Ernesto would weaken due to wind shear before making landfall in Bermuda at 08:30 UTC on August 17 as a Category 1 hurricane.[46] After making landfall, Ernesto would then weaken further into a tropical storm due to dry air later that day.[138] However, at 21:00 UTC the next day, Ernesto re-intensified into a Category 1 hurricane as environmental conditions began to improve around Ernesto.[139] After a brief period of re-intensification throughout August 19, re-strengthening to sustained winds of 90 mph (145 km/h),[140] Ernesto began to weaken once again due to colder sea surface temperatures and environmental conditions becoming unfavorable, as it brushed the coast of Newfoundland.[141] As Ernesto continued to quickly move northeastwards during the middle of August 20, Ernesto would become post-tropical as the NHC ceased issuing further advisories on the system.[142]

Several main roads on the island of Guadeloupe were closed due to the storm.[143] Wind gusts on the island of Culebra reached 86 mph (138 km/h),[144] where downed trees blocked roads and roofs were blown off. More than 45,000 customers lost power in the Virgin Islands[137] as a result of hurricane force wind gusts. The entirety of Saint Croix and Saint Thomas lost electricity.[144] Over 728,000 households in Puerto Rico lost power, around half of the island. An additional 235,000 households suffered water outages.[145] In Bermuda, power outages were recorded as well.[146] In South Carolina, two people died due to rip currents caused by Ernesto.[147] In North Carolina, one person was found dead also due to rough sea conditions caused by Ernesto.[148] In New York City, with swells predicted to reach 6 ft (1.8 m), mayor Eric Adams ordered all beaches in Brooklyn and Queens to close.[149]

Hurricane Francine

[edit]
Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
 
DurationSeptember 9 – September 12
Peak intensity100 mph (155 km/h) (1-min);
972 mbar (hPa)

On August 26, the NHC noted that a low-pressure area could form in the Central Tropical Atlantic.[150] Two days later, they began tracking a tropical wave producing disorganized showers.[151] Initially, showers from the wave were a bit more concentrated along its axis,[152] becoming more organized by August 31.[153] However, an unconducive environment for development caused the wave to become disorganized.[154] Several days later, on September 7, the wave crossed into the Bay of Campeche,[155] becoming a low-pressure area the next day.[156] Due to the system's imminent threat to land, it was designated Potential Tropical Cyclone Six at 21:00 UTC on September 8.[157] Higher wind gusts in the system were enhanced by a barrier jet near the Sierra Madre Oriental.[157] Early the next day, the disturbance organized into Tropical Storm Francine.[50] As the system meandered in the gulf, its track trended east due to a high pressure system in Florida.[158] Francine's core continued to organize, becoming a hurricane 03:00 UTC September 11.[159] As Francine continued to move northeastwards, steady rapid intensification occurred.[160] Despite a continuous increase in wind shear, Francine would strengthen into a Category 2 hurricane just south of Louisiana, achieving peak intensity of 100 mph (155 km/h).[161] At that intensity, Francine made landfall in Terrebonne Parish, Louisiana at 22:00 UTC on September 11.[162] Rapid weakening began after the hurricane made landfall, and at 03:00 UTC on September 12, Francine weakened into a tropical storm and then a tropical depression at 06:00 UTC and finally after another three hours remained as a remnant low for one day.[163]

Flooding occurred along much of the Northeast Gulf of Mexico.[164][165][166][167] Oil and natural gas production in the Gulf of Mexico was also disrupted.[168] No fatalities were reported as a result of Francine.[169]

Tropical Storm Gordon

[edit]
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
 
DurationSeptember 11 – September 17
Peak intensity45 mph (75 km/h) (1-min);
1004 mbar (hPa)

On September 7, the NHC noted that a trough of low pressure could interact with a nearby tropical wave and slowly develop.[170] Being in a favorable environment for development,[171] on September 11, showers and thunderstorms began showing signs of organization in the disturbance, which had became a tropical wave.[172] Later that day, the wave developed a surface circulation,[173] causing it to develop into Tropical Depression Seven.[174] The depression strengthened into Tropical Storm Gordon at 15:00 UTC on September 13.[175] The center of the system remained to the west of its deep convection, and persistent wind shear prevented Gordon from significantly strengthening. Gordon weakened back to a tropical depression on September 15.[176] Gordon's convective structure gradually degraded, and the system degenerated into a trough of low pressure on September 17.[177] The NHC continued to monitor the system for potential redevelopment until September 21, though strong wind shear kept any convection away from the center of circulation as it moved over the open central Atlantic.[178]

Hurricane Helene

[edit]
Category 4 hurricane (SSHWS)
 
DurationSeptember 24 – September 27
Peak intensity140 mph (220 km/h) (1-min);
938 mbar (hPa)

On September 17, the NHC noted that tropical cyclogenesis could occur somewhere in the northwestern Caribbean Sea in less than a week.[179] Several days later, on September 22, they began tracking a broad low-pressure area located in the western Caribbean.[180] As it traversed an environment conducive for development,[181] showers and thunderstorms associated with the disturbance began to consolidate.[182] Due to the system's imminent threat to land, it was designated Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine at 15:00 UTC on September 23.[183] The system would acquire tropical characteristics over the next twenty-four hours, and was upgraded to Tropical Storm Helene at 15:00 UTC on September 24. The system continued strengthening, and by the next day, NHC upgraded the system to a hurricane. On September 26, Helene made landfall just east of the mouth of Florida's Aucilla River at peak intensity. [184] Helene quickly weakened as it moved quickly inland before degenerating into a post-tropical cyclone over Tennessee on September 27. The system then stalled over the state before dissipating on September 29.

In advance of Helene's expected landfall, the governors of Florida and Georgia declared states of emergency due to the significant impacts expected, including very high storm surge along the coast and hurricane-force gusts as far inland as Atlanta. Hurricane warnings also extended further inland due to Helene's fast motion. The storm also caused catastrophic rainfall-triggered flooding, particularly in western North Carolina and eastern Tennessee, and spawned numerous tornadoes. As of October 6, a total of about 240 deaths have been attributed to Helene, making it the second-deadliest hurricane to strike the continental United States in fifty years, after Katrina in 2005 and the deadliest overall since Maria in 2017.[185]

Hurricane Isaac

[edit]
Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
 
DurationSeptember 26 – September 30
Peak intensity105 mph (165 km/h) (1-min);
968 mbar (hPa)

On September 25, the NHC began monitoring a non-tropical low located northeast of Bermuda, producing gale-force winds.[186] Later that day, the disturbance became better organized, and the low detached from the frontal boundary.[187] Having completed its tropical transition, the system was designated Tropical Storm Isaac at 03:00 UTC on September 26, while located about 690 mi (1115 km) east-northeast of Bermuda.[56] While moving generally eastward, the storm steadily became better organized, and became a Category 1 hurricane on September 27.[188] Isaac continued to strengthen into the next day, as it turned toward the northeast, intensifying to a Category 2 hurricane.[189] This was its peak intensity, with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph (165 km/h) and a minimum barometric pressure of 968 mbar (28.59 inHg), attained about 785 mi (1265 km) west of the Azores.[55] Isaac's intensification then leveled off,[190] before steadily weakening back to a tropical storm late on September 29 under the influence of increasingly unfavorable sea surface temperatures, wind shear, and dry air.[191] Isaac also began its extra-tropical transition,[192] which it completed on the morning of September 30.[193]

In preparation for Isaac's potential approach, the Portuguese Institute of the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) put the Azores under a yellow warning.[194]

Tropical Storm Joyce

[edit]
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
 
DurationSeptember 27 – September 30
Peak intensity50 mph (85 km/h) (1-min);
1001 mbar (hPa)

On September 22, a tropical wave moved off the coast of West Africa.[195] Initially producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, the wave tracked through a generally favorable environment for development.[196] A broad low-pressure area formed along the wave,[197] producing increasingly convective activity.[198] On September 27, midway between the Leeward Islands and Cabo Verde, the disturbance acquired gale-force winds,[199] and developed into Tropical Storm Joyce that same day.[200] Joyce continued to organize, reaching its peak intensity with winds of 50 miles per hour (80 km/h) later that day.[201] By September 28, Joyce began to weaken as southerly wind shear displaced convection away from its center,[202] weakening to a tropical depression the next day.[203] Joyce degenerated into a remnant low by October 1.[204]

Hurricane Kirk

[edit]
Category 4 hurricane (SSHWS)
 
DurationSeptember 29 – October 7
Peak intensity145 mph (230 km/h) (1-min);
934 mbar (hPa)

On September 28, the NHC began monitoring a broad area of low pressure producing limited shower activity west of Cabo Verde.[205] As showers and thunderstorms associated with the disturbance became better organized,[206] satellite imagery on September 29 revealed that the disturbance's circulation was becoming better defined.[207] As a result, later that day, it developed into Tropical Depression Twelve.[208] The next day it developed into Tropical Storm Kirk.[209] Amidst "quite conducive" environmental conditions, Kirk strengthened at a quick pace, with the National Hurricane Center noting a partial eyewall by early on September 30. Around the afternoon of October 1, the NHC reported that Kirk became a hurricane.[210] After fluctuating in intensity following that rapid intensification period, Kirk reached Category 4 intensity by late on October 3.[211] The system reached its peak the following morning, with Category 4 winds of 145 mph (230 km/h), far to the east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.[212] Kirk weakened as it moved north into colder waters, before accelerating to the northeast and undergoing extratropical transition, which it completed on the morning of October 7.[213] The extratropical cyclone then passed north of the Azores, before moving towards the west coast of France and western Europe.[214]

Kirk brought high surf to the East Coast of the United States.[215] Numerous downed trees were reported in Portugal and Spain. Portugal reported over 1,300 incidents. The hardest hit city was Porto, where numerous cars were damaged and railroads were disrupted. At the height of the storm, more than 300,000 households lost power. [216] In Spain, 70 L/m2 (2.76 in) of rain fell in 12 hours and gusts up to 129 km/h (80 mph) and 205 km/h (127 mph) were reported.[217] In Galicia, mudslides were reported, prompting road closures. In France, over 64,000 people lost power, and many roads were closed due to floodwaters. In Sete, a strong swell capsized three boats, killing one person and injuring another. [218] Kirk caused widespread flooding in France with 72-74 mm of rain of Noirmoutier and 71 mm of rain in Paris. Gusts up to 113 km/h and 139 km/h were reported in Villard-de-Lans.[219]

Hurricane Leslie

[edit]
Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
 
DurationOctober 2 – October 12
Peak intensity105 mph (165 km/h) (1-min);
972 mbar (hPa)

On September 29, the NHC began monitoring a tropical wave producing limited shower activity near the coast of West Africa.[220] The next day, a broad area of low pressure formed along wave south of the Cabo Verde Islands amid conditions conducive for additional development.[221] The system became gradually better organized as a broad closed circulation developed on October 2, resulting in the formation of Tropical Depression Thirteen.[57] Late that same day, the system strengthened, becoming Tropical Storm Leslie, while moving slowly to the west within a moderate wind shear environment due to the outflow from Hurricane Kirk to its northwest.[222] On October 5, Leslie intensified and became a Category 1 hurricane, before weakening back to a tropical storm on the morning of October 8.[223][224] Leslie would restrengthen into a hurricane later that night after moving over warmer waters, becoming a Category 2 hurricane early on October 10. At 09:00 UTC the next day, Leslie weakened to a tropical storm as northerly wind shear displaced most of the storm's convective activity to the south of the center, leaving the center exposed.[225]

Hurricane Milton

[edit]
Category 5 hurricane (SSHWS)
 
DurationOctober 5 – October 10
Peak intensity180 mph (285 km/h) (1-min);
897 mbar (hPa)

On September 26, the NHC began monitoring the Caribbean Sea for possible tropical development.[226] Three days later, a broad area of low pressure formed over the western Caribbean, producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms,[227] however, it degenerated into an open trough two days later.[228] As this broad trough began interacting with a stationary front and the remains of Tropical Depression Eleven-E in the eastern Pacific,[229] a new low-pressure area developed in the Gulf of Mexico on October 4.[230] Showers and thunderstorms associated with this disturbance became better organized,[231] causing the NHC to upgrade it into Tropical Depression Fourteen the next day.[58] Further development happened, and a few hours later, satellite wind data indicated the depression strengthened into Tropical Storm Milton.[232] Milton was able to rapidly intensify due to being in a very favorable environment, and became a Category 1 hurricane on the afternoon of October 6. Milton continued to strengthen overnight and into the morning, reaching Category 4 status on the morning of October 7, then reaching Category 5 intensity by 16:00 UTC that day.[60] Milton continued to strengthen further during the afternoon, reaching winds of 180 mph (285 km/h) at 18:00 UTC the same day.[233] The next day, it weakened to a high-end Category 4 hurricane due to an eyewall replacement cycle; however, upon the cycle's completion, it quickly restrengthened back to Category 5 intensity. However, the next day, it weakened to a Category 4 hurricane, then further weakening to Category 3 intensity as strong southwesterly wind shear of 35–40 mph (56–65 km/h) overtook the hurricane.[234] At 00:30 UTC on October 10, Milton made landfall near Siesta Key, Florida as a Category 3 hurricane with 120 mph (195 km/h) winds.[235]

Other system

[edit]
Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight off the coast of North Carolina on September 16

On September 11, the NHC noted an area with the potential of tropical cyclone development off the U.S. East Coast.[236] A non-tropical area of low pressure formed on September 14.[237] The following day, an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft found that the system possessed a broad low-level circulation center, and was generating deep convection over and around the center. It also found that the system was in the process of separating from its frontal characteristics. Due to the increasing likelihood of the system gaining tropical characteristics, and its proximity to coastal South Carolina, the NHC designated the system Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight at 21:00 UTC on September 15.[238] A Tropical Storm Warning was issued at that time, extending from Edisto Beach, South Carolina, to Ocracoke Inlet, North Carolina.[239] Schools were closed in preparation for the storm.[240] The system did not attain tropical characteristics as it approached northeastern South Carolina the following afternoon, and its sustained winds fell below tropical storm force. Consequently, the Tropical Storm Warnings for the Carolinas were discontinued with the final NHC advisory at 21:00 UTC on September 16.[241] The storm brought heavy rain to the Carolinas, especially at Carolina Beach, North Carolina, where rainfall totals reached 20.81 in (529 mm), and caused significant flooding in Brunswick County, North Carolina,[242][243] where a brief curfew was imposed.[244] In Sunny Point, North Carolina, winds gusted to 77 mph (124 km/h).[245] Several coastal roads, such as NC 12, were flooded with high tide.[246] One person died after attempting to drive through floodwaters.[247]

Storm names

[edit]

The following list of names is being used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2024.[248] This is the same list used in the 2018 season, with the exceptions of Francine and Milton, which replaced Florence and Michael, respectively.[249] Both new names were used for the first time this season. Names retired, if any, will be announced by the World Meteorological Organization in the spring of 2025.

  • Oscar (unused)
  • Patty (unused)
  • Rafael (unused)
  • Sara (unused)
  • Tony (unused)
  • Valerie (unused)
  • William (unused)

Season effects

[edit]

This is a table of all of the storms that have formed in the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. It includes their name, duration, peak classification and intensities, areas affected, damage, and death totals. Deaths in parentheses are additional and indirect (an example of an indirect death would be a traffic accident), but were still related to that storm. Damage and deaths include totals while the storm was extratropical, a wave, or a low, and all of the damage figures are in 2024 USD.

Saffir–Simpson scale
TD TS C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
2024 North Atlantic tropical cyclone season statistics
Storm
name
Dates active Storm category
at peak intensity
Max 1-min
wind
mph (km/h)
Min.
press.
(mbar)
Areas affected Damage
(USD)
Deaths Ref(s)
Alberto June 19–20 Tropical storm 50 (85) 992 Yucatán Peninsula, Northeastern Mexico, Southwestern United States $179 million 2 (3) [64][66]
Beryl June 28 – July 9 Category 5 hurricane 165 (270) 934 Lesser Antilles, Windward Islands, Venezuela, Greater Antilles, Yucatán Peninsula, Central and Northeastern United States, Eastern Canada >$6.86 billion 64 (7) [250][251][252]
Chris June 30 – July 1 Tropical storm 45 (75) 1005 Yucatán Peninsula, Eastern Mexico >$1 million 5 (1) [253]
Debby August 3–9 Category 1 hurricane 80 (130) 979 Lucayan Archipelago, Greater Antilles, Eastern Gulf Coast, Eastern United States, Eastern Canada, United Kingdom, Faroe Islands >$2.8 billion 6 (4) [128]
Ernesto August 12–20 Category 2 hurricane 100 (155) 968 Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Bermuda, Atlantic Canada, British Isles $24.3 million 3
Francine September 9–12 Category 2 hurricane 100 (155) 972 Eastern Mexico, Gulf Coast of the United States $1.5 billion None
Gordon September 11–17 Tropical storm 45 (75) 1004 None None None
Helene September 24–27 Category 4 hurricane 140 (220) 938 Cayman Islands, Nicaragua, Honduras, Yucatán Peninsula, Cuba, Southeastern United States >$39.8 billion ≥252 [254]
Isaac September 26–30 Category 2 hurricane 105 (165) 968 None None None
Joyce September 27–30 Tropical storm 50 (85) 1001 None None None
Kirk September 29 – October 7 Category 4 hurricane 145 (230) 934 France, Spain, Portugal, Luxembourg, Belgium, Switzerland, Sweden, Norway Unknown 1
Leslie October 2–12 Category 2 hurricane 105 (165) 972 None None None
Milton October 5–10 Category 5 hurricane 180 (285) 897 Western Gulf Coast of Mexico, Yucatán Peninsula, Greater Antilles, Southeastern United States, Lucayan Archipelago, Bermuda >$30 billion 27
Season aggregates
13 systems June 19 – Season ongoing   180 (285) 897 >$81.164 billion 361 (15)  

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Hurricanes reaching Category 3 and higher—1-minute sustained winds higher than 110 miles per hour (178 km/h)—on the Saffir–Simpson scale are described as major hurricanes.[24]
  2. ^ The average formation date of the first named Atlantic tropical storm is June 20.[28]

References

[edit]
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