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2024 Lithuanian parliamentary election

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2024 Lithuanian parliamentary election
Lithuania
← 2020 13 October 2024 (first round)
27 October 2024 (second round)
2028 →

All 141 seats in the Seimas
71 seats needed for a majority
Turnout52.06% (Increase4.25pp)
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
LSDP Vilija Blinkevičiūtė 19.36 20 +7
TS–LKD Gabrielius Landsbergis 17.96 18 −32
PPNA Remigijus Žemaitaitis 14.99 15 New
DSVL Saulius Skvernelis 9.24 8 New
LS Viktorija Čmilytė-Nielsen 7.70 8 −5
LVŽS Ramūnas Karbauskis 7.02 6 −26
LLRA–KŠS Valdemar Tomaševski 3.89 2 −1
Independents 1 −3
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
First round results
Prime Minister before
Ingrida Šimonytė
TS–LKD

Parliamentary elections were held in Lithuania on 13 October,[1][2] with a second round to be held on 27 October 2024.[3]

Background

[edit]

The 2020 election was won by the Homeland Union, which formed a coalition with the Liberal Movement and Freedom Party. The Šimonytė Cabinet was appointed by President Gitanas Nausėda on 7 December 2020, after the Seimas approved Ingrida Šimonytė as Prime Minister.[4] On 11 December, the Government program was approved, thus, the cabinet officially took office.[5] Major domestic and foreign events during the term include the COVID-19 pandemic in Lithuania, 2020–2021 Belarusian protests and the Belarus–European Union border crisis, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

The 2023 Lithuanian municipal elections were won by the opposition Social Democratic Party of Lithuania, with the Homeland Union at second place, and the Homeland Union candidate Ingrida Šimonytė was defeated by incumbent Gitanas Nausėda in the 2024 Lithuanian presidential election with the largest share of the vote in the history of presidential elections in Lithuania. However, the Homeland Union finished at first place in the 2024 European Parliament election in Lithuania, with the Social Democrats at second place. The Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union, which was the largest party in the Seimas prior to the 2020 parliamentary election, split, with the defectors forming the Union of Democrats "For Lithuania", and finished third in the 2023 municipal and the 2024 European Parliament elections.

Other notable changes in the political landscape since 2020 included the establishment of Dawn of Nemunas, led by presidential candidate Remigijus Žemaitaitis after his expulsion from Freedom and Justice due to his antisemitic statements, which grew in popularity after the 2024 presidential election, as well as the poor performance of the Labour Party, which failed to win a deputy in the European Parliament for the first time since its establishment in 2003, and which was subsequently abandoned by several of the party's members of parliament, which led to the collapse of the party's parliamentary group.[6]

Changes to the constitution and new electoral code

[edit]

After passing amendment of Constitution's article № 56 in April 2022, to be eligible for election, candidates must be at least 21 years old on the election day, not under allegiance to a foreign state and permanently reside in Lithuania,[7] while previously, candidates needed to be at least 25 years old on the election day. Persons serving or due to serve a sentence imposed by the court 65 days before the election are not eligible. Also, judges, citizens performing military service, and servicemen of professional military service and officials of statutory institutions and establishments may not stand for election.[8] In addition, a person who has been removed from office through impeachment may be elected after 10 year period after impeachment.[9][10]

The Electoral Code was adopted on 23 June 2022. The Code replaced various elections' acts and introduced several changes to the parliamentary elections. Firstly, it gave possibility to establish more than one worldwide constituency. Secondly, it removed a ban of political parties' agitation on Saturdays (e. g. one day prior to the election).[11]

Impeached politicians that will be eligible for reelection

[edit]
Politician Party Impeachment date Eligibility for standing date
President of the Republic Rolandas Paksas Independent 6 April 2004 6 April 2014
Member of Seimas Linas Karalius [lt] National Resurrection Party 11 November 2010 11 November 2020
Member of Seimas Neringa Venckienė The Way of Courage 19 June 2014 19 June 2024

Boundary changes

[edit]

In 2023, single-member constituencies were redrawn. Most boundary changes took part in Klaipėda, Kaunas, Vilnius and their suburbs.[12][13]

LLRA–KŠS accused some boundary changes as being an attempt of "artificial dilution of the minority electorate".[14]

Electoral system

[edit]

The Seimas has 141 members, elected to a four-year term in parallel voting, with 71 members elected in single-seat constituencies using the two-round system and 70 members elected by proportional representation.[8] The voting in the elections is open to all citizens of Lithuania who are at least 18 years old.

Parliament members in the 71 single-seat constituencies are elected in a majority vote; or per a new provision instituted in 2022, a leading candidate in a constituency is directly elected if they receive the support of one fifth of registered voters.[15] A run-off is held within 15 days, if necessary. The remaining 70 seats are allocated to the participating political parties using the largest remainder method. Parties normally need to receive at least 5% (7% for multi-party electoral lists) of the votes to be eligible for a seat. Candidates take the seats allocated to their parties based on the preference lists submitted before the election and adjusted by preference votes given by the voters.[8]

For the 2024 election, around 2.4 million people are eligible to vote.[16]

Campaign

[edit]

Announcement

[edit]

On 9 April 2024 the President of Lithuania, Gitanas Nausėda, officially announced 13 October 2024 as the election date. The announcement launched the election campaign, allowing the potential participants to register for the elections, raise funds and campaign in public.[17]

Participating parties

[edit]

The following is a list of parties which are registered as participants in the election by the Central Election Commission. 23 political parties were eligible to participate in the elections, having submitted their membership rolls before 10 April 2024, in compliance with legal requirements. 20 political parties registered for the elections before the deadline on 22 July 2024. [18] Three parties, Together with the Vytis, Movement for Forests - Young Lithuania and Christian Union, withdrew from the race on their own accord.[19][20][21] On 9 August 2024, 15 different electoral lists were registered. 1,742 candidates will participate in the elections: 1,091 men and 651 women.[22]

Party / Electoral list Abbr. Leader Ideology Seats
Party Electoral list Last election Current seats[a]
Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats
Tėvynės sąjunga – Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai
TS–LKD Gabrielius Landsbergis Ingrida Šimonytė[23] Liberal conservatism
Christian democracy
50 / 141
49 / 137
Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union[b]
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga
LVŽS Ramūnas Karbauskis Aurelijus Veryga[24] Agrarianism
Social conservatism
32 / 141
17 / 137
Union of Democrats "For Lithuania"
Demokratų sąjunga "Vardan Lietuvos"
DSVL Saulius Skvernelis[25] Green conservatism split from LVŽS
16 / 137
Social Democratic Party of Lithuania
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija
LSDP Vilija Blinkevičiūtė[26] Social democracy
13 / 141
14 / 137
Liberals' Movement
Liberalų sąjūdis
LS Viktorija Čmilytė-Nielsen[27] Classical liberalism
13 / 141
13 / 137
Freedom Party
Laisvės partija
LP Aušrinė Armonaitė[28] Liberalism
11 / 141
10 / 137
Lithuanian Regions Party
Lietuvos regionų partija
LRP Jonas Pinskus[29] Regionalism
3 / 141
9 / 137
Dawn of Nemunas
Nemuno Aušra
PPNA Remigijus Žemaitaitis[30] Populism
Nationalism
split from PLT
3 / 137
Coalition of Peace
Taikos koalicija
Labour Party DP Viktor Uspaskich Viktor Uspaskich[31] Populism
10 / 141
0 / 137
Lithuanian Christian Democracy Party LKDP Mindaugas Puidokas Christian right did not participate
1 / 137
Samogitian Party ŽP Irena Stražinskaitė-Glinskienė Regionalism did not participate
0 / 137
Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania – Christian Families Alliance
Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija – Krikščioniškų šeimų sąjunga
LLRA-KŠS Waldemar Tomaszewski[32] Polish interests
Social conservatism
3 / 141
2 / 137
Lithuanian Green Party
Lietuvos žaliųjų partija
LŽP Ieva Budraitė[33] Green liberalism
1 / 141
0 / 137
Freedom and Justice
Laisvė ir teisingumas
PLT Artūras Zuokas[34] Conservative liberalism
1 / 141
0 / 137
People and Justice Union
Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga
TTS Petras Gražulis Artūras Orlauskas[35] National conservatism
Euroscepticism
0 / 141
0 / 137
National Alliance
Nacionalinis susivienijimas
NS Vytautas Radžvilas Vytautas Sinica [lt][36] National conservatism
Euroscepticism
0 / 141
0 / 137
Lithuanian People's Party
Lietuvos liaudies partija
LLP Tauras Jakelaitis Eduardas Vaitkus[37] Russophilia
Hard Euroscepticism
0 / 141
0 / 137
  1. ^ Four seats are currently vacant.
  2. ^ The party is running as a joint list with several politicians from the parties Young Lithuania and Lithuania - For Everyone, as well as the team of presidential candidate Ignas Vėgėlė. This electoral list will be subject to a 7% coalition barrier.[24]

Debates

[edit]
First round
23 September 24 September 25 September
  • Social Democrats
  • Green Party
  • Farmers and Greens Union
  • Union of Democrats
  • Liberal Movement
  • Electoral Action of Poles
  • Freedom and Justice
  • People's Party
  • Homeland Union
  • Dawn of Nemunas
  • Coalition of Peace
  • National Alliance
  • People and Justice Union
  • Regions Party
  • Freedom Party
Second round
7 October 8 October 9 October
  • Coalition of Peace
  • Electoral action of Poles
  • People and Justice Union
  • People's Party
  • Freedom Party
  • Social Democrats
  • Green Party
  • Farmers and Greens Union
  • Union of Democrats
  • Liberal Movement
  • National Alliance
  • Freedom and Justice
  • Regions Party
  • Homeland Union
  • Dawn of Nemunas

Politicians not standing

[edit]

Nine incumbent members of Seimas chose to not stand in the elections:[38]

Opinion polls

[edit]
LOESS curve of the polling for the 2024 Lithuanian parliamentary election.

Parliamentary election poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures.

Pollster Fieldwork dates Sample size TS–LKD LVŽS DP LSDP LP LS LLRA−
KŠS
LRP TTS PLT DSVL PPNA NS Lead
Spinter tyrimai 16–25 September 2024[a] 1,008 18.0 10.1 24.1 7.0 9.8 8.1 16.0 3.1 6.1
Vilmorus 13–21 September 2024[b] 1,000 13.3 9.1 2.7[c] 26.4 3.3 7.5 1.9 4.0 0.7 1.9 9.5 16.7 1.1 9.7
Baltijos tyrimai 6–20 September 2024[d] 1,004 16.7 11.4 2.0[e] 22.2 3.0 5.6 1.7 5.3 1.3 1.2 13.8 11.6 1.5 5.5
Baltijos tyrimai 7–9 August 2024[f] 1,005 12.5 11.6 7.7 21.9 3.4 5.7 2.6 4.3 2.0 2.0 12.8 11.1 0.9 9.1
Spinter tyrimai 19–29 July 2024 1,007 16.8 13.3 3.5 21.5 5.3 10.7 11.8 17.0 4.5
Vilmorus 11–21 July 2024 1,000 15.7 13.8 4.3 26.4 4.3 7.1 1.7 4.8 - - 10.2 9.9 - 10.7
Baltijos tyrimai 21 June – 7 July 2024[g] 1,005 12.3 10.1 4.6 23.2 3.4 7.5 2.8 5.0 2.5 1.7 14.3 9.8 1.4 8.9
Spinter tyrimai 18–28 June 2024 1,013 15.6 8.8 3.2 21.3 6.0 9.1 8.9 13.4 6.7
2024 European elections 9 June 2024[h] 691,572 21.33 9.13 1.66 17.98 8.10 5.42 5.78 5.25 5.45 1.25 5.95 3.79 3.35
Spinter tyrimai 17–26 May 2024 1,016 16.4 9.2 2.9 19.3 6.3 9.2 9.1 13.0 2.9 2.9
Baltijos tyrimai 16–25 May 2024 1,027 13.6 12.6 8.0 22.7 3.4 4.4 3.4 5.5 1.9 2.5 10.8 9.9 1.1 9.1
Spinter tyrimai 17–25 April 2024 1,018 15.4 9.6 3.2 20.4 5.1 9.9 8.4 7.4 2.9 5.0
Spinter tyrimai 18–28 March 2024 1,009 13.7 11.3 3.6 21.1 7.3 9.6 7.8 5.6 3.9 7.4
Baltijos tyrimai 15–25 March 2024 1,115 11.8 15.4 7.4 23.2 2.6 6.5 2.8 5.2 2.8 12.1 6.5 7.8
Vilmorus 15–23 March 2024 1,001 11.0 14.8 7.0 30.3 4.1 9.4 2.3 5.2 14.3 15.5
Baltijos tyrimai 22 February – 5 March 2024 1,021 12.7 11.3 5.8 22.3 4.3 4.8 3.2 4.7 3.2 15.3 4.5 7.0
Spinter tyrimai 18–25 February 2024 1,017 15.3 10.0 4.5 21.4 5.4 8.4 8.0 6.4 6.1
Vilmorus 8–17 February 2024 1,002 17.6 13.6 7.3 29.6 2.5 7.0 1.7 5.1 13.6 12.0
Baltijos tyrimai 19–29 January 2024 1,021 12.0 13.7 7.4 22.3 4.8 5.8 5.2 4.1 13.7 2.7 8.6
Spinter tyrimai 19–26 January 2024 1,012 15.1 10.8 2.9 22.9 5.6 8.2 9.7 5.9 2.9 7.8
Baltijos tyrimai 15–30 December 2023 1,017 14.1 13.4 7.1 21.0 4.4 7.9 3.3 5.0 2.0 3.9 17.1 3.9
Spinter tyrimai 15–23 December 2023 1,012 15.9 13.8 3.2 24.0 3.8 9.1 2.9 2.9 3.8 8.9 2.2 8.1
Vilmorus 22 November – 2 December 2023 1,000 12.6 12.5 5.9 32.7 4.6 5.9 1.9 5.1 3.6 12.3 20.1
Spinter tyrimai 17–29 November 2023 1,015 15.4 12.7 21.9 5.2 10.5 3.2 4.1 4.0 6.3 6.5
Baltijos tyrimai 16–27 November 2023 1,018 11.5 15.5 7.0 23.4 2.8 8.4 2.8 5.7 2.8 14.8 7.9
Vilmorus 9–19 November 2023 1,000 12.6 12.1 4.4 32.1 3.0 9.0 2.0 3.6 3.7 4.2 10.6 19.5
Baltijos tyrimai 23 October – 7 November 2023 1,013 11.9 14.1 9.7 25.9 2.8 9.9 1.4 4.6 1.4 3.5 13.6 11.8
Spinter tyrimai 17–28 October 2023 1,011 16.3 10.0 24.0 5.4 11.4 5.2 3.2 3.4 8.5 7.7
Vilmorus 12–21 October 2023 1,003 15.0 11.8 4.6 29.1 3.8 7.6 2.5 3.8 4.3 3.3 12.1 1.4 14.1
Spinter tyrimai 18–26 September 2023 1,013 15.3 9.4 4.7 22.8 5.7 12.6 3.5 5.0 8.9 7.5
Vilmorus 14–23 September 2023 1,003 19.2 12.4 4.5 31.9 3.7 7.4 1.7 3.9 2.8 4.0 9.3 14.7
Baltijos tyrimai 24 August – 5 September 2023 1,016 12.5 12.8 7.5 21.8 3.9 9.5 2.9 3.5 1.2 5.0 18.9 2.9
Spinter tyrimai 20–29 July 2023 1,009 17.4 12.1 3.8 19.6 4.2 10.7 3.3 3.9 12.4 2.2
Vilmorus 17–19 July 2023 1,003 16.0 12.6 5.2 31.0 4.3 6.9 1.6 3.9 2.1 2.6 12.3 15.0
Spinter tyrimai 19–28 June 2023 1,012 12.8 9.7 4.0 18.4 7.0 11.5 3.2 5.8 11.4 5.6
Baltijos tyrimai 14–29 June 2023 1,020 11.8 11.5 7.8 23.2 3.5 9.0 4.2 5.5 2.8 2.9 18.6 4.6
Baltijos tyrimai 12–29 May 2023 1,009 11.2 13.0 6.2 23.2 4.1 9.5 4.3 2.7 0.9 5.0 19.1 4.1
Spinter tyrimai 19–26 May 2023 1,009 13.1 12.5 5.4 20.7 5.5 9.7 3.4 5.1 9.4 7.6
Vilmorus 17–21 May 2023 1,000 13.0 15.4 6.2 29.8 3.9 7.0 1.6 2.6 1.4 4.4 13.5 14.4
Baltijos tyrimai 20 April – 5 May 2023 1,026 13.4 9.7 9.1 25.8 3.5 9.7 3.4 2.3 1.9 3.2 17.2 8.6
Spinter tyrimai 18–27 April 2023 1,014 16.6 13.7 2.7 23.5 3.8 9.8 3.8 10.1 6.7
Vilmorus 14–22 April 2023 1,000 15.6 13.1 3.9 28.8 4.1 8.0 2.3 3.6 2.6 3.3 12.9 13.2
Spinter tyrimai 17–27 March 2023 1,016 16.5 12.0 3.0 18.1 5.8 9.5 6.1 11.5 1.6
Vilmorus 9–18 March 2023 1,000 15.1 14.0 4.3 28.2 3.9 7.1 2.0 2.8 3.2 4.2 13.4 13.1
2023 municipal elections 5 March 2023[i] 1,169,174 16.2 9.2 3.67 17.45 3.55 6.95 5.33 2.47 2.6 0.92 6.68 1.12 1.25
Baltijos tyrimai 15–28 February 2023[j] 1,003 14.2 10.0 8.9 18.3 3.4 7.4 4.8 3.6 2.3 4.7 18.3 0.6 Tie
Spinter tyrimai 18–27 February 2023 1,012 16.7 12.3 5.5 17.2 5.8 7.8 3.9 13.9 0.5
Vilmorus 9–18 February 2023 1,000 16.1 14.9 5.1 24.4 5.1 5.3 1.7 3.5 2.4 3.8 16.2 8.2
Baltijos tyrimai 19–31 January 2023[k] 1,023 15.7 9.7 7.9 19.4 3.6 7.1 2.8 2.8 1.4 3.7 19.8 0.1 0.4
Spinter tyrimai 18–27 January 2023 1,010 16.4 13.1 4.6 17.6 6.8 8.9 3.0 17.3 0.3
Spinter tyrimai 15–24 December 2022 1,010 19.8 8.8 3.0 17.8 4.5 8.6 3.9 14.5 2.0
Vilmorus 8–15 December 2022 1,000 16.7 12.7 6.0 25.0 3.6 9.3 1.8 2.7 1.9 3.4 15.3 8.3
Baltijos tyrimai 17 November – 2 December 2022[l] 1,026 12.2 11.3 7.3 16.2 3.8 9.5 3.0 2.6 2.1 8.6 18.9 0.3 2.7
Spinter tyrimai 18–29 November 2022 1,013 18.8 12.5 3.6 16.9 4.1 8.3 5.0 12.1 1.9
Vilmorus 10–19 November 2022 1,000 17.1 10.5 5.6 24.3 2.5 8.1 2.9 3.4 1.2 9.5 13.1 7.2
Baltijos tyrimai 26 October – 8 November 2022[m] 1,026 15.7 12.4 8.0 17.7 3.7 7.5 2.6 3.2 2.2 8.0 16.1 1.6
Spinter tyrimai 18–28 October 2022 1,011 21.5 10.4 3.6 17.8 5.4 8.8 8.0 11.2 3.7
Vilmorus 11–16 October 2022 1,002 18.7 10.1 5.8 23.7 2.7 8.6 1.4 4.4 1.9 7.5 11.4 3.5
Spinter tyrimai 20–30 September 2022 1,010 18.7 10.1 5.8 17.6 6.1 9.7 7.5 10.1 1.1
Baltijos tyrimai 16−27 September 2022[n] 1,024 13.4 10.6 8.3 20.0 3.6 7.0 4.2 3.4 2.4 8.9 15.7 4.3
Vilmorus 15–24 September 2022 1,000 18.9 11.6 5.9 22.4 2.8 6.4 1.9 5.4 2.8 8.6 12.3 2.5
Spinter tyrimai 25 August – 2 September 2022 1,006 19.1 10.8 3.6 12.7 7.8 9.8 6.4 14.5 4.6
Baltijos tyrimai August 2022[o] 15.0 10.6 6.4 18.3 3.1 9.4 2.7 2.2 1.1 8.7 20.1 1.8
Baltijos tyrimai 12–28 July 2022 1,021 15.8 7.4 6.5 20.0 2.5 9.9 3.3 2.2 1.8 12.7 16.9 3.1
Spinter tyrimai 18–28 July 2022 1,013 16.5 10.9 3.6 14.8 6.6 9.4 7.0 16.5 Tie
Vilmorus 15–23 July 2022 1,003 17.4 11.6 6.1 20.8 3.9 8.7 1.3 3.6 1.8 6.8 16.2 3.4
Spinter tyrimai 18–28 June 2022 1,015 19.7 9.5 4.2 16.4 5.2 8.0 7.5 17.0 2.7
Vilmorus 9–18 June 2022 1,003 18.1 11.5 4.7 22.5 4.2 7.6 1.1 4.3 2.2 8.1 14.7 4.4
Baltijos tyrimai 16–28 May 2022 1,021 15.4 7.3 6.8 17.1 3.7 8.5 2.9 2.5 3.0 10.7 20.9 3.8
Spinter tyrimai 18–27 May 2022 1,013 20.3 8.6 5.1 18.7 6.5 8.1 6.8 12.8 1.6
Vilmorus 12–18 May 2022 1,001 19.9 9.1 6.1 25.8 4.3 8.7 1.6 2.5 2.5 19.1 5.9
Spinter tyrimai 20–28 April 2022 1,007 20.1 10.2 6.1 13.9 6.5 9.3 6.4 14.8 5.3
Baltijos tyrimai 13–27 April 2022 1,009 14.7 6.6 6.3 19.0 2.9 9.5 3.8 1.0 1.0 10.7 22.0 3.0
Open Agency/Norstat 15–22 April 2022[p] 1,000 23.4 11.8 4.5 16.6 6.5 7.1 2.5 1.3 2.0 5.5 12.4 6.8
Spinter tyrimai 17–25 March 2022 1,007 19.3 9.7 6.2 15.1 5.5 8.9 6.9 15.8 3.5
Baltijos tyrimai 10–24 March 2022 1,000 13.3 7.5 7.7 18.0 4.2 10.7 5.0 2.1 0.9 9.8 18.8 0.8
Vilmorus 10–19 March 2022 1,005 19.0 10.7 6.9 23.0 2.3 8.2 1.3 4.0 3.5 19.8 3.2
Baltijos tyrimai 22 February – 3 March 2022 1,017 16.6 8.7 8.8 17.1 4.1 9.5 3.7 1.4 0.7 8.8 19.5 2.4
Spinter tyrimai 17–25 February 2022 1,010 17.3 9.6 9.4 17.6 6.5 8.6 5.9 12.5 0.3
Vilmorus 3–8 February 2022 1,005 15.8 12.8 8.6 26.9 3.2 7.7 1.5 3.6 17.8 9.1
Baltijos tyrimai 24 January – 4 February 2022 1,022 11.9 13.4 13.4 23.9 4.5 10.5 4.5 1.5 1.5 11.9 13.5
Spinter tyrimai 17–29 January 2022 1,010 16.9 11.2 8.7 14.9 7.9 9.6 5.8 11.9 2.0
Spinter tyrimai 13–25 December 2021 1,012 17.0 10.6 6.6 17.2 7.4 11.3 5.7 11.3 0.2
Open Agency/Norstat 10–18 December 2021[q] 1,002 24.6 8.9 7.5 17.8 4.6 9.8 2.4 0.9 4.9 10.5 1.7 6.8
Vilmorus 10–18 December 2021 1,000 17.5 13.7 9.9 32.0 3.8 10.9 1.2 5.5 14.5
Baltijos tyrimai 16 November – 2 December 2021 1,009 15.5 15.0 7.8 25.7 4.1 11.2 3.3 2.6 2.6 10.1 10.2
Spinter tyrimai 11–28 November 2021 1,015 16.5 13.4 9.0 19.4 8.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 2.9
Vilmorus 18–27 November 2021 1,000 19.3 17.6 8.7 27.3 4.7 9.4 3.2 4.5 8.0
Baltijos tyrimai 17 October – 5 November 2021 1,004 14.1 14.1 10.3 26.7 3.1 10.9 4.3 2.0 2.3 10.4 12.7
Spinter tyrimai 18–28 October 2021 1,015 17.4 13.2 9.8 19.5 7.4 11.4 4.4 2.1
Vilmorus 15–22 October 2021 1,000 16.7 16.1 9.8 28.9 4.6 10.8 2.2 5.2 12.2
Baltijos tyrimai 17 September – 3 October 2021 1,004 15.5 15.1 7.8 25.7 4.1 11.2 3.4 2.7 2.7 10.2 10.2
Spinter tyrimai 17–26 September 2021 1,009 18.6 13.8 9.4 21.2 8.0 10.1 3.0 2.6
Vilmorus 9–16 September 2021 1,003 21.6 17.4 9.4 29.6 3.0 10.1 2.0 2.5 8.0
Spinter tyrimai 24–31 August 2021 1,014 18.9 17.3 9.5 18.6 8.3 10.9 4.5 0.3
Baltijos tyrimai 20–31 August 2021 1,006 15.7 17.3 7.4 25.9 5.0 9.1 5.5 2.5 8.6 8.6
Vilmorus 29 July – 5 August 2021 1,000 19.5 23.2 8.7 23.6 4.4 8.1 2.6 4.0 0.4
Spinter tyrimai 17–28 June 2021 1,003 20.8 22.8 6.3 15.3 8.5 10.9 2.7 2.0
Vilmorus 9–18 June 2021 1,000 20.2 25.9 8.9 22.8 5.0 10.3 1.4 3.4 5.7
Baltijos tyrimai 20 May – 2 June 2021 1,018 17.3 22.0 11.9 20.0 5.4 12.9 4.9 5.1 2.0
Spinter tyrimai 18–28 May 2021 1,011 23.0 22.0 7.6 10.9 8.6 12.6 2.7 1.0
Vilmorus 11–21 May 2021 1,004 24.5 26.8 7.3 16.9 5.8 10.2 2.1 5.1 2.3
Spinter tyrimai 19–28 April 2021 1,006 23.7 23.1 7.4 8.2 9.0 12.5 3.6 0.6
Vilmorus 8–17 April 2021 1,001 29.2 26.5 6.7 11.7 6.9 9.1 1.0 7.0 2.7
Spinter tyrimai 17–23 March 2021 1,011 23.5 21.1 7.4 8.6 9.8 12.8 3.9 3.0 2.4
Spinter tyrimai 17–26 February 2021 1,014 25.6 18.3 5.8 6.5 11.8 12.9 4.5 4.3 7.3
Spinter tyrimai 18–27 January 2021 1,013 27.2 16.1 6 8.5 11.8 12.6 4.2 2.4 11.1
Spinter tyrimai 10–20 December 2020 1,007 23.3 19.7 8.1 7.8 11.7 12.1 4.6 3.6
Baltijos tyrimai 6–30 November 2020 1,004 22.7 19.0 10.5 9.4 11.3 12.9 4.7 1.9 2.5 4.2 3.7
2020 parliamentary election 1,174,843 25.77 18.07 9.77 9.59 9.45 7.05 4.97 3.28 2.36 2.06 2.21 7.7
Notes
  1. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 3.7%
  2. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 1.1%
  3. ^ Coalition of Peace (Labour Party, Lithuanian Christian Democracy Party, Samogitian Party)
  4. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 2.0%
  5. ^ Coalition of Peace (Labour Party, Lithuanian Christian Democracy Party, Samogitian Party)
  6. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 1.4%
  7. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 1.3%
  8. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 4.05%, Coalition of Peace (Lithuanian Christian Democracy PartySamogitian Party) 3.51%, Christian Union 1.37%
  9. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 1.66%, Christian Union 0.52%, Young Lithuania 0.13%, Samogitian Party 0.06%
  10. ^ Young Lithuania 0.9%, Christian Union 0.5%
  11. ^ Young Lithuania 2.0%, Christian Union 0.5%
  12. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 2.4%, Young Lithuania 1.2%, Christian Union 0.6%
  13. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 2.4%
  14. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 2.4%
  15. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 1.6%
  16. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 0.9%
  17. ^ Lithuanian Green Party 0.9%, hypothetically parties: United Lithuania 2.9%, Second Lithuania 1.3%, Lithuanian Family Movement 1.3%

Results

[edit]
Results after the first round
PartyProportionalConstituency (first round)+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Social Democratic Party of Lithuania240,25319.7418225,42618.872
Homeland Union222,97418.3217230,41119.291
Dawn of Nemunas186,12615.2914129,65310.851New
Union of Democrats "For Lithuania"114,6439.428105,2828.810New
Liberals' Movement95,5247.857108,2919.061
Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union[a]87,1817.166114,8609.610
Freedom Party55,8454.59053,2144.450
Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania48,2533.96051,0094.272
National Alliance35,6312.93024,0812.020
Lithuanian People's Party32,7542.6905,2230.440
Coalition of Peace (DPLKDPŽP)27,2982.24026,7442.240
Lithuanian Regions Party23,5241.93039,9753.350
Lithuanian Green Party20,8041.71022,1821.860
People and Justice Union17,1651.41021,8201.830
Freedom and Justice Party9,3260.77010,4370.870
Independents26,0492.181
Total1,217,301100.00701,194,657100.0080
Valid votes1,217,30198.071,194,60896.28
Invalid/blank votes23,9711.9346,1023.72
Total votes1,241,272100.001,240,710100.00
Registered voters/turnout2,384,36852.062,384,36852.04
Source: VRK

Turnout

[edit]

Early voting was held from 8-10 October, with turnout recorded at 7.4%.[39] Final turnout following the first round was at 52.1%, an increase from the 47.2% recorded in 2020.[40]

First round turnout by hour[41]
8:00 9:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00
0.53% 1.82% 4.61% 9.01% 13.84% 18.32% 22.40% 26.10% 29.47% 32.69% 35.78% 38.61% 40.31%

Seats

[edit]

The following politicans won a seat in the Seimas through a Constituency in the first round:[42][43]

Constituency Result Last elections Elected member
1. Senamiestis-Žvėrynas LS hold Viktorija Čmilytė-Nielsen
3. Antakalnis TS-LKD hold Ingrida Šimonytė
41. KelmėŠilalė NA gain from PLT Remigijus Žemaitaitis Remigijus Žemaitaitis
43. Kėdainiai Independent gain from LSDP Tomas Bičiūnas Viktoras Fiodorovas
46. West Žiemgala LSDP hold Liudas Jonaitis Vaida Aleknavičienė
56. ŠalčininkaiVilnius LLRA-KŠS hold Beata Petkevič Jaroslav Narkevič
57. Nemenčinė LLRA-KŠS hold Česlav Olševski Rita Tamašunienė
60. Jonava LSDP hold Eugenijus Sabutis

Candidates moving on to the second round

[edit]
Candidates advancing to the second round in each constituency.
Party First Place Total Candidates Against
LSDP TS–LKD PPNA DSVL LS LVŽS Others
Social Democratic Party of Lithuania
20 / 63
38 / 63
15[b] 4[b] 5 4 6 LRP
PLT
ind.
3
1
1
Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats
26 / 63
32 / 63
15[b] 6[b] 2 2 LLRA–KŠS
LP
NS
PLT
3
3
1
1
Dawn of Nemunas
3 / 63
14 / 63
4[b] 6[b] 1 2 2
Union of Democrats "For Lithuania"
3 / 63
10 / 63
5 2 1 1 ind. 1
Liberals' Movement
2 / 63
9 / 63
4 2 2 1
Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union
5 / 63
10 / 63
6 2 1 1
Freedom Party
0 / 63
3 / 63
3
Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania
1 / 63
3 / 63
3
National Alliance
0 / 63
1 / 63
1
Lithuanian Regions Party
1 / 63
3 / 63
3
Freedom and Justice
0 / 63
2 / 63
1 1
Independents
2 / 63
2 / 63
1 1

Aftermath

[edit]
2024 Lithuanian parliamentary election map by electoral district (multi-mandate)
Legend:
     Social Democratic Party of Lithuania
     Homeland Union
     Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania – Christian Families Alliance
     Dawn of Nemunas

On the night of 14 October, Vilija Blinkevičiūtė and Saulius Skvernelis, the leaders of the LSDP and the DSVL respectively, agreed to cooperate in the second round and to form a coalition government afterwards.[44]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ The party is running as a joint list with several politicians from the parties Young Lithuania and Lithuania – For Everyone, as well as the team of presidential candidate Ignas Vėgėlė.
  2. ^ a b c d e f In Constituency 18 (Panemunės), the candidate for TS–LKD received first place, while the candidates for the LSDP and PPNA tied for second place, and as a result, the constituency will have three candidates in the second round instead of two

References

[edit]
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