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2024 Mozambican general election

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2024 Mozambican general election

← 2019 9 October 2024 2029 →
Presidential election
 
Daniel Chapo 2016.jpg
Nominee Daniel Chapo Ossufo Momade
Party FRELIMO RENAMO

 
Lutero Simango, MDM VOA Português.jpg
Nominee Lutero Simango Venâncio Mondlane
Party MDM Independent

President before election

Filipe Nyusi
FRELIMO

Elected President

TBD

Parliamentary election

All 250 seats in the Assembly of the Republic
126 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Last election
FRELIMO Filipe Nyusi 184
RENAMO Ossufo Momade 60
MDM Lutero Simango 6

General elections were held in Mozambique on 9 October 2024.[1][2][3]

The ruling party, FRELIMO, which has increasingly become marked with growing concerns of authoritarianism and impunity amid the controversies surrounding the 2023 local elections and the 2019 general election, is predicted to win.[4]

Background

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FRELIMO, which has ruled the country since 1975 when they created a One-Party Marxist–Leninist State, allowed elections as part of the peace process that ended the Mozambican Civil War in 1994, however, the opposition has decried these elections as rigged in FRELIMO's favor. After the 2023 local elections protests broke out due to alleged fraud on the part of FRELIMO with the police killing at least three protesters. Public perception of the election where muted, as many view a FRELIMO victory as a foregone conclusion.[5]

Electoral system

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The President is elected using the two-round system.[6] The 250 members of the Assembly of the Republic are elected by proportional representation in eleven multi-member constituencies based on the country's provinces and on a first-past-the-post basis from two single-member constituencies representing Mozambican citizens in Africa and Europe. Seats in the multi-member constituencies are allocated using the d'Hondt method, with an electoral threshold of 5%.[7] Official results are announced by the National Election Commission (CNE) after 15 days and must subsequently be validated by the Constitutional Council.[8]

Concerns have been raised over discrepancies in the total number of registered voters, which stands at more than 17 million.[9] The non-governmental organisation Centro de Integridade Pública, citing data published by the CNE, said that there are 878,868 more registered voters than there are voting age adults in some provinces, leading them to describe 5% of the electorate as "ghost voters". The International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance also notes the existence of "ghost voters" in seven of the country's ten provinces, with up to a third of the registered voting population in Gaza Province believed to be non-existent.[10]

Candidates

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On 5 May 2024, after a meeting of its Central Committee, FRELIMO named Daniel Chapo, a 47-year old law professor and former governor of Inhambane Province, as its candidate in the upcoming election to succeed outgoing president Filipe Nyusi.[11] Chapo is the first presidential candidate of FRELIMO who was born after Mozambique gained independence in 1975.[10]

On the same date, the Democratic Movement of Mozambique (MDM) selected its leader, Lutero Simango, to be its candidate for the October elections.[12]

Other candidates include Ossufo Momade, the leader of the RENAMO party since 2018 who had lost in the 2019 presidential election to Nyusi, and Venâncio Mondlane, a banker and forestry engineer[8] who ran as an independent after breaking away from RENAMO following an unsuccessfully bid in the mayoral election in Maputo in 2023 that was marred by allegations of electoral fraud.[10] Mondlane was supported by the newly established Podemos (We Can) party, as well as the Democratic Alliance, a coalition of opposition parties that were barred from contesting the election.[13][14]

Campaign

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Campaigning was held from August to 6 October.[15] Both Chapo and Mondlane also made campaign stops in neighbouring South Africa, appealing to overseas voters there.[10] All three candidates named the resolution of the Insurgency in Cabo Delgado as their main priority.[16] Chapo was seen as the favorite to win the election.[5] Independent candidate Venancio Mondlane was seen as the biggest challenge to Chapo.[17]

Observers

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The Southern African Development Community sent 52 election observers to monitor the election.[16] Observers were also deployed by the African Union and the European Union.[17] More than 200 polling places refused observers access during the election.[18]

Results

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President

[edit]
CandidateParty
Daniel ChapoFRELIMO
Ossufo MomadeRENAMO
Lutero SimangoMDM
Venâncio MondlaneIndependent
Total

Assembly

[edit]
PartySeats
FRELIMO
RENAMO
Democratic Movement of Mozambique
Action Party of the United Movement for Integral Salvation
New Democracy
Union for Change
Optimistic People for the Development of Mozambique
National Reconciliation Party
Patriotic Movement for Democracy
Union for Reconciliation Party
Greens Party of Mozambique
Labour Party
National Party of the Mozambican People/CRD
Youth Movement for the Restoration of Democracy
National Movement for the Recovery of Mozambican Unity
Electoral Union
Mozambique People's Progress Party
Social Renewal Party
Ecological Party of Mozambique
Party of Freedom and Development
Democratic Unity
Ecological Party–Land Movement
Democratic Justice Party of Mozambique
Social Broadening Party of Mozambique
National Workers and Peasants Party
Democratic Union of Mozambique
Total

Provincial elections

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Province Seats
FRELIMO RENAMO MDM
Cabo Delgado Province
Gaza Province
Inhambane Province
Manica Province
Maputo Province
Nampula Province
Niassa Province
Sofala Province
Tete Province
Zambezia Province
Total
Source:

Conduct

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Polling opened at 07:00 and closed at 18:00.[19] Chapo's rivals alleged instances of fraud such as ballot boxes being unsealed before voting ended and some of their representatives being denied accreditation to monitor the vote.[17]

On 10 October it was revealed that more than 200 polling stations denied journalists and observers access to the vote counting process with the election watchdog group Sala da Paz stating: "There were significant cases of .... electoral irregularities that may raise questions about the credibility of the process."[18]

While counting was underway on 11 October, Venancio Mondlane threatened to launch a nationwide strike if FRELIMO declared victory.[20] That same day, observers from the European Union and the European Parliament demanded that central election authorities release all voting details from all voting places. Despite having the data, the central election authorities have refused to do so.[21]

On 14 October, Lutero Simango and the Democratic Movement of Mozambique announced that they would be rejecting any official vote count due to "many irregularities and manipulation" and would be officially challenging the election in court. One of the main issues the MDM have had with the election is one of their voters was arrested without charge in a polling place in Ribáuè. The MDM also announced that they where conducting a parallel vote count which they will release when the official vote is released for comparison.[22]

References

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  1. ^ "Mozambique to Hold Presidential Election Oct. 9 Next Year". Bloomberg. 4 August 2023.
  2. ^ "Mozambique to Hold General Elections On October 9, Next Year • 360 Mozambique". 360 Mozambique. 7 August 2023. Retrieved 12 September 2023.
  3. ^ "Mozambique: Presidential, legislative elections scheduled for 9 October 2024". Mozambique. Retrieved 12 September 2023.
  4. ^ "Mozambique: October 9". Africa Center for Strategic Studies. Retrieved 1 April 2024.
  5. ^ a b Peyton, Nellie; Mucari, Manuel. "Mozambique ruling party eyes new term as election runs peacefully". Reuters. Retrieved 9 October 2024.
  6. ^ Republic of Mozambique: Election for President (President) IFES
  7. ^ Electoral system IPU
  8. ^ a b "Mozambique's presidential election: Here's what to know". Africanews. 8 October 2024. Retrieved 8 October 2024.
  9. ^ "'We will win!': Mozambique's ruling party confident at final vote rally". France 24. 7 October 2024. Retrieved 7 October 2024.
  10. ^ a b c d "Fresh faces in Mozambique's poll as independence era leaders bow out". BBC. 6 October 2024. Retrieved 6 October 2024.
  11. ^ "Mozambique's ruling party names new leader ahead of elections". Africanews. 6 May 2024. Retrieved 7 May 2024.
  12. ^ "Mozambique: MDM elects Lutero Simango as its presidential candidate". Club of Mozambique. 6 May 2024. Retrieved 9 May 2024.
  13. ^ "Mozambique votes for president and the ruling party could extend its 49 years in power". Associated Press. 9 October 2024. Retrieved 9 October 2024.
  14. ^ "Mozambique's election: Who's contesting and what's at stake?". Al Jazeera. 9 October 2024. Retrieved 9 October 2024.
  15. ^ "Mozambique headed for crucial elections amid jihadist insurgency and drought-induced hunger". Africanews. 7 October 2024. Retrieved 7 October 2024.
  16. ^ a b "Mozambique headed for crucial elections amid jihadist insurgency and drought-induced hunger". Associated Press. 7 October 2024. Retrieved 7 October 2024.
  17. ^ a b c "Mozambique counts votes in its presidential election as opposition alleges fraud". Associated Press. 10 October 2024. Retrieved 10 October 2024.
  18. ^ a b Peyton, Nellie. "Mozambique counts votes amid allegations of irregularities". Reuters. Retrieved 14 October 2024.
  19. ^ "Mozambique elects new president in tense vote". France 24. 9 October 2024. Retrieved 9 October 2024.
  20. ^ "Frelimo's candidate wins in Maputo amid ongoing vote count". Africanews. 14 October 2024. Retrieved 14 October 2024.
  21. ^ "Mozambique: CNE Could Publish Individual Polling Station Results Now, And Satisfy EU Demand". allAfrica. Retrieved 14 October 2024.
  22. ^ "Mozambique Elections: MDM will challenge results – Watch". clubofmozambique. Retrieved 14 October 2024.